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One might wonder why we should want to revise the chronology of ancient history today and base our revision on new empirico- statistical methods. In 1891 Pope Leo XIII issued an en- cyclical “in celebration of the 600 years of Loreto’s Mir- acle.” Thus, the “miracle” is dated at XIII century a.d. Peters sepulchre, for instance: “In 1940, the excavations sanctioned by Pope Pius XII were commenced under the Vatican crypts, and their peak fell on the post-war years... One hopes that the reader studies the book in its entirety with undiminished attention after the pe- rusal of the first couple of pages and, at the very least, becomes familiar with a fascinating scientific prob- lem, or maybe even joins the research in this new and promising field of science. Nothing can remedy that except for an individual chronological revolution happening in the minds of a large enough number of people. Fomenko The materials contained in this book correspond to the research that was started in 1973. The earliest document concerning the “Loreto house” is the bull issued by Pope Urban VL dated to 1387. Lentzman tells us the following in re the search for St. Honorary citizen of several French and Italian towns and cities. He reads lectures on sociology in many European and American universities. We use the word “text” to refer to sequences of diverse signals here, such as the lengthy codes one finds in genetics, graph- ical representations of this kind or the other that can be encoded and represented in a textual form, as well as actual narrative texts, such as historical chronicles, original sources, documents etc. Wright says that “few sites on the way to Mount Sinai can be identified with any degree of certainty” (quoted in , page 128). Stade wrote that: “checking the itinerary of Israel has as much sense as, say, tracking the way of the Burgundians’ return from 40 | history: fiction or science? The trouble with Fomenko and Nosovskiy is that they have reached out too far and dealt the dominating historical discourse too heavy a blow. Laureate of the 1982 Alexis Tocqueville prize for soci- ology and the “Best Sociology Essay of 1979” prize, as well as a large number of European and international prizes for literature. Zinoviev are published in more than 20 languages and considered international bestsellers. Based on research materials of 1973-1988 The methods of applied statistics affect a wide range of scientific paradigms today, including the re- search of a great variety of texts. The Bible lists a great many geographical locations that the People of Israel visited during their 40 years of wandering after the Exodus from “Egypt.” The ar- chaeologists still fail to find these locations where the Scaligerian history places their Biblical descriptions. We may regard the recognition problem as an example, where one is confronted with the task of finding the visual representation that bears the greatest resemblance to the given prototype. Spielberg quotes this statement, say- ing that “we can still sign under every word of Stade’s” and that “the depiction of events following the Exodus, the listing of the sites where stops were made, the crossing of the desert - all of this is fiction” (quoted in , page 132).
In application to narrative text studies and their needs, the problem of differentiating between de- pendent and independent texts (such as chronicles) can be formulated as that of tracing out the texts that hail back to a common original source (the ones that can logically be referred to as “dependent”), or those of non-correlating origins (the ones we can logically refer to as “independent”). Fomenko, Professor of Pure Mathematics, is primarily oriented at the devel- opment of said methods as applied to identifying and dating dependent and independent texts (in relation to the texts that possess veritable datings a priori). The settlement has been subject to thorough excavations since the endeavours of Sellin, Watzinger, and Garstang in late XIX century. In 1952 an Anglo-American archaeological expedition led by Kathleen Kenyon ventured to continue Garstang’s research. Dating methods as offered by mathematical statistics. A prolonged pondering of this topic led me to the idea of checking the exactitude of datings of the ancient eclipses that the D " parameter computations were based upon since they implicitly af- fected the result. Eusebius Pamphilus writes somebody “referred to the small Frigian towns, Petusa and Timion as ‘Jerusalem’” (quoted in , page 893). This made the gap in the diagram even more enigmatic. Another name for Troy is Ilion, while Jerusalem is also known as Aelia Capitolina (, Volume 7). It is pos- sible that the same city was called Troy and Ilion by some, and Jerusalem and Aelia by others. All of the re- sults in question were educed from a tremendous body of work performed by the author with the assistance of his fellow academicians, most of them specializing in mathematical statistics and its applications. The spot where this city was supposed to have been located according to the “cal- culations” made by the historians has also been sub- ject to fundamental research. The German archaeologist and Bible historian Anton Jirku () expresses his grief over the futility of the “Jericho” excavations, and proceeds to describe those of “Ai” as afflicted by “an even greater discrepancy between the report of the conquest of Ai that ensued and the results of the ex- cavations” (quoted in , pages 145-151). The verifica- tion of these models (statistical hypotheses) by sub- sisted chronicle material confirmed their efficacy and allowed us to suggest new methods of dating texts, or, rather, the events they describe. The scientific results obtained by the author are most remarkable indeed, and what we witness today can already be referred to as the rather sudden evolve - ment of a whole new scientific division in applied sta- tistics that is definitely of interest to us. Wright wrote that “the infor- mation received on Jericho was called disappointing, and it is true: not only is it hard to interpret the Biblical tale of Jericho, one cannot so much as trace the out- line of the tradition’s history. The Bible says that after Jericho the Israelis de- stroyed the city of Ai.
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It also offers us a glimpse of the rather charming personality of its au- thor, a mathematician and a history scholar. Shiryaev, President of the International Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability Theory in 1989-1991. Eminent mathematician proves that: Jesus Christ was born in 1053 a.d. The second, and greater, attack of unease comes with the awareness of just how many areas of human knowledge still trust the three elephants of the con- sensual chronology to support them. The Catholic Church, for in- stance, has been claiming the “very house” that Virgin Mary had lived in and where “Archangel Gabriel ap- peared before her” to have been located in the Italian town of Loreto since the XIII century, which means that the Catholic version transfers a part of evangeli- cal events to Italy.